ECO 3203 (Fall 2006)
AGGREGATE ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
HAPPY HOLIDAYS and
HAPPY NEW YEAR
The Course
Outline (pdf format).
The Course
Outline (html format).
Download the
Acrobat Reader (version 5.0) to Read and Print all documents. 
TA Hours and Location
Location: BA2-303A, Monday and Wednesday from 4:30 p.m. to
5:30 p.m.
LECTURE NOTES and ARTICLES
The lecture notes are not substitutes for the textbook, they are
a complement to the textbook.
EXAMS
- Your grades are posted at MyUCFgrades.
- The Final Exam will be held on December 6, 2006 at 1:00
p.m.
- The exam will cover Chapters: 5, 8, 9 and 12.
- Prepare by reading the book, the class notes, solving
the assignment problems and answering the questions in the Study Guide.
-
to bring a BROWN scantron sheet.
-
to bring a Calculator.
- QUIZ III will be held on November 27, 2006.
- The QUIZ will cover Chapters: 8, 9 and 12.
- Prepare by reading the book, the class notes, solving
the assignment problems and answering the questions in the Study Guide.
-
to bring a BROWN scantron sheet.
-
to bring a Calculator.
- Your grade is posted at MyUCFgrades.
- The Solution to the MC part of QUIZ II:
- The Solution to the Short-Essay question is discussed in
class on October 23, 2006.
- QUIZ II will be held on October 18, 2006.
- The QUIZ will cover Chapters: 4 and 5.
- Prepare by reading the book, the class notes, solving
the assignment problems and answering the questions in the Study Guide.
-
to bring a BROWN scantron sheet.
-
to bring a Calculator.
- The Solution to the MC part of QUIZ I.
- Your grade is posted at MyUCFgrades.
- QUIZ I will be held on September 13, 2006.
- The QUIZ will cover Chapters: 1, 2 and 3.
- Prepare by reading the book, the class notes, solving
the assignment problems and answering the questions in the Study Guide.
-
to bring a BROWN scantron sheet.
-
to bring a Calculator.
Class Discussions
- U.S.
National Debt Clock.
- Index of Leading
Indicators at The Conference Board.
-
The composition of the Index
- U.S. Composite Indexes:
Components and Standardization Factors
Leading Index Factor
1 Average weekly hours, manufacturing 0.2542
2 Average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance 0.0333
3 Manufacturers' new orders, consumer goods and materials 0.0753
4 Vendor performance, slower deliveries diffusion index 0.0698
5 Manufacturers' new orders, non-defense capital goods 0.0186
6 Building permits, new private housing units 0.0266
7 Stock prices, 500 common stocks 0.0377
8 Money supply, M2 0.3535
9 Interest rate spread, 10-year Treasury bonds less federal funds 0.1019
10 Index of consumer expectations 0.0291
Coincident Index:
1 Employees on nonagricultural payrolls 0.5293
2 Personal income less transfer payments 0.2077
3 Industrial production 0.1469
4 Manufacturing and trade sales 0.1161
Lagging Index:
1 Average duration of unemployment 0.0373
2 Inventories to sales ratio, manufacturing and trade 0.1221
3 Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing 0.0623
4 Average prime rate 0.2777
5 Commercial and industrial loans 0.1137
6 Consumer installment credit to personal income ratio 0.1931
7 Consumer price index for services 0.1937
-
The
Hodrick-Prescott Filter Excel Add-in - To de-trend Macroeconomic
variables.
- Basic Statistics - How to measure the correlation coefficient - useful
to determine the cyclicality of the variable.
ASSIGNMENTS
- DO ALL the Questions for Review and the Problems at the end
of each Chapter.
- The Questions for Review:
- Williamson, Version 2
- Chapter 1, Questions 1 to 22, page 34.
- Chapter 2, Questions 1 to 15, pages 59-60.
- Chapter 3, Questions 1 to 13, pages 85-86.
- Chapter 4, Questions 1 to 13, page 129.
- Chapter 5, Questions 1 to 14, pages 161-162.
- Chapter 8, Questions 1 to 23, pages 288-289.
- Chapter 9, Questions 1 to 17, page 342.
- Chapter 12, Questions 1 to 16, page 460.
- Williamson, Version 1
- Chapter 1, Questions 1 to 22, pages 35-36.
- Chapter 2, Questions 1 to 15, page 61.
- Chapter 3, Questions 1 to 13, page 85.
- Chapter 4, Questions 1 to 13, page 128.
- Chapter 5, Questions 1 to 14, page 160.
- Chapter 6, Questions 1 to 21, pages 210-211.
- Chapter 7, Questions 1 to 16, pages 261-262.
- Chapter 10, Questions 1 to 16, page 408.
MISCELLANEOUS
Conversion
Table for the GRADES
The
following letter grade system will be used,
|
Grade
|
Grade
Point
|
Percentages
|
|
A
|
4.00
|
[93
– 100]
|
|
A-
|
3.75
|
[90
– 93)
|
|
B+
|
3.25
|
[87
– 90)
|
|
B
|
3.00
|
[83
– 87)
|
|
B-
|
2.75
|
[80
– 83)
|
|
C+
|
2.25
|
[77
– 80)
|
|
C
|
2.00
|
[73
– 77)
|
|
C-
|
1.75
|
[70
– 73)
|
|
D+
|
1.25
|
[67
– 70)
|
|
D
|
1.00
|
[63
– 67)
|
|
D-
|
0.75
|
[60
– 63)
|
|
F
(Fail)
|
0.00
|
[0
– 60)
|
Since August 2006, this page was visited

Last Updated
Monday, February 23, 2009 01:56:28 PM